Petroleum coke market rose sharply (7.3-7.9)

1、 Price data

 

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According to the commodity analysis system of the business community, the price of Petroleum coke of the local refiners rose sharply this week. On July 9, the average price of Shandong market was 1866.50 yuan/ton, 5.07% higher than the price of 1776.50 yuan/ton on July 3.

 

On July 9, the Petroleum coke commodity index was 145.17, unchanged from yesterday, 64.48% lower than the cycle’s highest point 408.70 (2022-05-11), and 117.03% higher than the lowest point 66.89 on March 28, 2016. (Note: The cycle refers to the period from September 30th, 2012 to the present)

 

2、 Analysis of influencing factors

 

The price of Petroleum coke produced by local refineries rose sharply this week. The inventory of Petroleum coke produced by local refineries in Shandong was at a medium low level. Downstream enterprises had good enthusiasm for replenishment, and local refineries had good turnover. At present, the port Petroleum coke inventory is at a high level, and the terminal just needs replenishment, so the overall trade is general.

 

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This week, the international crude oil market fluctuated and rose. The expectation of tight supply due to OPEC tightening production in the oil producing country has overshadowed concerns about slowing demand due to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike. The decline of the US dollar provides support for crude oil; The production reduction of the OPEC and its allies (OPEC+) increased supply concerns; The United States will purchase 6 million barrels of crude oil to fill its strategic oil reserves.

 

The price of calcined coke has slightly increased this week. The trend of metal silicon rose slightly. As of July 9, the average price of 441 # metal silicon in the Spot market was 13740 yuan/ton. The downstream electrolytic aluminum market is fluctuating and declining, with an average price of 18223.33 yuan/ton as of July 9th. Downstream enterprises have good enthusiasm for replenishment, local refining enterprises have good turnover, and the terminal just needs to support the price of local refining Petroleum coke.

 

Petroleum coke analysts from the business community believe that at present, the inventory of Petroleum coke produced by Shandong Local Refining Co., Ltd. is at a medium low level, downstream enterprises have good enthusiasm for replenishment, local refining enterprises have good turnover and investment, and the terminal just needs to support the price of Petroleum coke produced by Shandong Local Refining Co., Ltd. However, the domestic coking units have been overhauled in succession, and the domestic production of Petroleum coke has increased slightly. In addition, the port Petroleum coke resources are sufficient, and the terminal replenishment capacity is limited. It is expected that in the near future, the local refining of Petroleum coke will be dominated by shocks.

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