In 2022, the price of aluminum fluoride will fall in a U-shaped shock
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According to the data of the business agency, the aluminum fluoride market will first fall and then rise in 2022, showing a U trend in general. As of December 31, the average price of domestic aluminum fluoride was 12200 yuan/ton, down 15.08% from 14366.67 yuan/ton on January 1. The highest price of aluminum fluoride in the year is 14366.67 yuan/ton, the lowest price is 10650 yuan/ton, and the maximum amplitude in the year is 25.87%.
The trend of aluminum fluoride in 2022 is mainly divided into three stages
Phase I: rapid decline from January to March
At this stage, the cost of raw materials decreased, and the price of aluminum fluoride fell sharply. In 2022, the market of aluminum fluoride will rise rapidly and fall rapidly in the second half of the year. As the price of raw materials continued to fall, the cost of aluminum fluoride decreased, and the price of aluminum fluoride fell rapidly in the first quarter. As of March 31, the price of aluminum fluoride was 10875 yuan/ton, 24.30% lower than that on January 1.
Second stage: shock consolidation stage from April to August
At this stage, the price of fluorite rose in shock, the price of hydrofluoric acid fell in shock, the cost of aluminum fluoride raw materials fluctuated and consolidated, the demand for aluminum fluoride was weak, the rising support of aluminum fluoride was insufficient, and the downward pressure was limited. The price of aluminum fluoride fluctuated and consolidated.
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The third stage: shock and rising stage from September to December
Since late August, the power rationing in Sichuan has spread to the whole country. The commencement of electrolytic aluminum and aluminum fluoride enterprises has declined, the supply of aluminum fluoride is insufficient, the prices of hydrofluoric acid and fluorite have risen in shock, the cost of aluminum fluoride has risen, the supply of aluminum fluoride is insufficient, and the price of aluminum fluoride has risen in shock. At the same time, due to the lack of gold, silver and silver, the demand for aluminum fluoride is less than expected, and the impetus for aluminum fluoride to rise is limited. In December, with the price of hydrofluoric acid and fluorite falling, The price of aluminum fluoride dropped slightly in December.
Aluminum fluoride export volume
According to the data released by the customs, the cumulative export volume of aluminum fluoride from January to November 2022 is 94674 tons, a sharp increase over previous years. The export volume of aluminum fluoride increased, the demand for aluminum fluoride increased, and aluminum fluoride was supported by a certain increase.
Future outlook
In 2022, the aluminum fluoride market will fall first and then rise. In the first quarter, affected by the decline of raw materials, the price of aluminum fluoride will fall sharply. Although the quality of Jinjiuyinshi is insufficient, aluminum fluoride enterprises will not start construction in September and October. The aluminum fluoride supply is tight, leading to the price of aluminum fluoride rising. In general, the supply and demand of aluminum fluoride market will be relatively balanced in 2022. In the future, the epidemic situation will continue and the demand for aluminum fluoride will remain weak. In the first quarter of 2023, the aluminum fluoride market may continue to weaken in December 2022. In the second and third quarters of 2023, or in the rising range of fluorspar hydrofluorate, aluminum fluoride will be supported to a certain extent.
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