1、 Price trend
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According to the bulk list data of business society, aniline prices continued to rise this week. On December 10, the price in Shandong was 9300-9600 yuan / ton; The price of aniline in Nanjing is 9600-9800 yuan / ton; On December 17, the price in Shandong was 9500-9980 yuan / ton; The price of aniline in Nanjing was 9800-10000 yuan / ton, an increase of 1.05% over last week and 24.57% over the same period last year.
2、 Analysis and review
In terms of cost, pure benzene: there will be new units put into operation in the downstream of speculation in Shandong. The market negotiation atmosphere is positive. The price has continuously risen to the high level of 6850-6900 yuan / ton. Driven by the rise in East China, pure benzene has continued to rise in the first half of the week. However, with the continuous rise in the price of pure benzene, the resistance in the downstream has increased, the follow-up mood has dropped, and the downstream devices have not been put into operation as scheduled, so the mentality of the industry has changed to caution. It is heard that pure benzene in East China port will continue to accumulate in the next week, and the inventory pressure will further depress the market mentality. Pure benzene fell continuously in the second half of the week. On Friday (December 17), the price of pure benzene was 6600-6900 yuan / ton (the average price was 6700 yuan / ton), an increase of 280 yuan / ton, or 4.36%, and 49.35% over the same period last year.
The price of nitric acid fell this week. On Friday (December 17), the domestic production price of nitric acid was 230 yuan / ton, down 2.82% from last week and up 11.29% from the same period last year. Nitric acid orders decreased and enterprises lowered their quotation.
In the early stage, the inventory of raw materials consumed by the downstream of aniline was mainly, and the follow-up of aniline was cautious. After the decline of aniline, there was strong enthusiasm for bargain hunting. In addition, the rise of aniline raw material side continued this week, and the inventory of enterprises remained at a low level. During the week, Jinmao aniline plant was shut down for a short time, which had little impact on the aniline Market.
3、 Future expectations
In terms of cost and pure benzene, the downstream unit is expected to be put into operation next week, the demand support in Shandong still exists, and the price may rebound; East China port inventory continued to accumulate, and inventory pressure dragged down the market. On the whole, the trend of pure benzene is uncertain, and it is expected that Shandong is better than East China.
Pure benzene is weak, nitric acid is weak, aniline cost support is weak, and the price trend is mainly affected by the demand side. Aniline consolidation is expected next week. Continue to pay attention to the trend of raw material, downstream demand and the dynamics of aniline plant.
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