1、 Price trend
According to the data monitoring of Business News Agency: on April 15, the average price of domestic LNG was 3390 yuan / ton, down 2.68% compared with the previous day, up 1.19% month on month, and up 4.2% compared with the same period last year.
2、 Analysis of influencing factors
On April 15, the domestic liquefied natural gas market was down by 2.68% in a single day. Shaanxi, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Ningxia and other places fell collectively, with different declines. The overall downward trend of the market was obvious, with profits plummeting and hovering near the cost line. With the end of the heating period in northern China, the market officially entered the off-season, the support of the demand side gradually declined, the early maintenance and other favorable factors were exhausted, and the weak market became normal. At the same time, recently, the price reduction of imported gas was too large, which suppressed the domestic market. The sales pressure of domestic liquid plants was large, and near the May Day holiday, the traffic of dangerous chemical vehicles on expressways would be restricted, and most of the manufacturers Continue to reduce prices shipping, industry bearish mentality. At present, the market supply is sufficient, the demand continues to be weak, the contradiction between supply and demand may increase, the liquid price is mainly low consolidation, and there is still a downward expectation.
On April 15, the domestic liquefied natural gas market was down, with 3300-3500 yuan / T in Inner Mongolia, 3320-3600 yuan / T in Shaanxi, 3350-3600 yuan / T in Shanxi, 3390-3470 yuan / T in Ningxia, 3550-3660 yuan / T in Henan and 3120-3150 yuan / T in Hebei.
Date of quotation (yuan / ton)
Inner Mongolia LNG 3300-3500 April 15
April 15, 2015
Shanxi ﹣ LNG ﹣ 3350-3600 ﹣ April 15
Ningxia LNG 3390-3470 April 15
Hebei Liquefied Natural Gas Co., Ltd. 3120-3150 April 15
Henan Province ﹣ liquefied natural gas ﹣ 3550-3660 ﹣ April 15
Downstream products are mixed:
Recently, the domestic methanol spot market rose slowly. According to the monitoring of the business society, as of April 14, the average price of domestic methanol manufacturers in Shandong was 2370 yuan / ton, with a month on month decrease of 3.27% and a year-on-year increase of 32.40%. Due to the low inventory and limited supply of goods, the prices of some production enterprises in Northwest China keep rising, while those in inland China keep rising.
Urea: on April 15, the urea market in Shandong Province was temporarily stable. The reference price of urea was 2113.33, which was 2.61% lower than that on April 1 (2170.00). At present, the purchase of agricultural demand is cautious, the industrial demand is used as it is purchased, and the urea supply is acceptable. It is expected that the domestic urea market will fluctuate slightly in the short term.
Dichloromethane. On April 14, the reference price of dichloromethane was 3823.33, up 2.14% compared with that on April 1 (3743.33). At present, there is little pressure on the supply side, supported by cost and demand side. It is expected that the price of dichloromethane will rise slightly in the future.
3、 Future forecast
LNG analysts of business news agency believe that: at present, affected by the off-season consumption, the downstream demand has declined, the market transaction is general, coupled with the low price pressure system of import, the manufacturers have greater sales pressure, and the continuous price reduction and shipment operation has been hovering near the cost line, and near the May Day holiday, the manufacturers have the expectation of price reduction and inventory arrangement, and there are many bad factors, so it is expected that the LNG market will continue to expand in the short term Market may continue to fall, but the decline is limited.
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