1、 Price trend
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According to the price monitoring of the business association, on January 8, the average price of salicylic acid (industrial grade) mainstream manufacturers was 13933 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the week and the same as that at the beginning of the month, down 9.13% compared with the same period last year.
2、 Market analysis
The salicylic acid market is stable this week. After the new year’s day, the price of salicylic acid has not been adjusted, but the downstream demand has increased, the purchase intention is obvious before the Spring Festival, the attitude of the industry is positive, the delivery is free of pressure, and the offer is firm. According to the price monitoring of the business association, as of January 8, the quotations of salicylic acid industrial enterprises were mostly in the range of 12000-15000 yuan / ton, with little fluctuation. The quotations of pharmaceutical grade enterprises were mostly in the range of 23000-25500 yuan / ton, and the quotations of sublimation grade enterprises were mostly in the range of 15000-20000 yuan / ton. The actual transactions were mainly through negotiation.
Raw material phenol, 2020 is an extraordinary year. After the festival, all parts of the country stopped production and logistics transportation was blocked. Phenol market also experienced an unusual period in this year. In the first half of the year, it showed a deep “V” trend. Although it hit a new low in the first half of the year, it recovered its decline at the end of June, which was the highest in the year. In the second half of the year, we went through hardships and difficulties, but failed to break through the strange circle. According to the monitoring data of the business community, phenol (national market) was offered at 7487 yuan / ton on January 1, 2020, and then it was just around the spring festival that the market smoothly transited. After the festival, the domestic epidemic uncertainty continued to increase, and the market entered a rapid downward trend. Like most products in the industrial chain, phenol (national market) was offered at 4900 yuan / ton on April 3, Among them, the East China market is as low as 4500 yuan / ton (the lowest in ten years according to the monitoring of business community). In the second quarter, the market continued to release favorable information, and the market rebounded quickly. As of June 10, phenol (national market) was offered at 7925 yuan / ton, the highest in the year. In the second half of the year, the phenol market went through a very difficult period. First of all, it experienced a long downturn. In November, it was supported by downstream bisphenol A, which improved slightly. However, compared with other products coming out of the “high light moment” in the industrial chain, phenol made only a few upward breakthroughs in the fourth quarter, and finally continued to cross the year in a depressed state.
According to the price monitoring of the business community, in the list of commodity prices in the 1st week of 2021 (1.4-1.8), there were 27 kinds of commodities in the chemical industry sector that rose month on month, among which 4 kinds of commodities increased by more than 5%, accounting for 4.3% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top 3 commodities were propylene glycol (10.29%), ethylene (5.98%) and propane (5.47%). There were 32 kinds of commodities with a month on month decrease, and 4 kinds of commodities with a decrease of more than 5%, accounting for 4.3% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top 3 products with a decrease were acetone (- 13.28%), n-butanol (industrial grade) (- 10.78%) and isopropanol (- 8.47%). This week, the average rise and fall was – 0.34%.
3、 Future forecast
Salicylic acid analysts of business news agency believe that: after new year’s day, the price of salicylic acid has not been adjusted for the time being. At present, the downstream demand is increasing, the purchase intention is obvious before the Spring Festival, the salicylic acid manufacturers have no pressure to ship, the mentality is positive, the offer is firm, and the price is expected to be stable in the short term.
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