1、 Price trend
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According to the monitoring of bulk commodity data, the price of Yungui yellow phosphorus was stable this week. The average price of yellow phosphorus is 15500 yuan / ton.
2、 Market analysis
The price of yellow phosphorus market is stable this week, and the driving situation is basically normal. At present, the market sales situation is fair, the downstream goods taking situation has improved, the transaction is more active than before, and the yellow phosphorus enterprises intend to stabilize. So far, the market quotation in Yunnan is about 15500-15800 yuan / ton. The mainstream quotation in Guizhou is about 15200-15300 yuan / ton. The price of yellow phosphorus in Sichuan is about 15400-15600 yuan / ton.
In terms of phosphate rock, the overall market situation of phosphate ore is weak and stable, the downstream demand is weak, and there are not many new orders to purchase, so the support for phosphate rock is limited. Phosphate rock industry mainly focused on stabilizing price this year. In the near future, the adjustment of phosphate ore market is limited, and it is expected that the quotation will not be lowered, and the overall stable operation is mainly maintained.
In terms of coke, as of December 17, the spot market: the price of coke remained stable after rising, and the ninth round of increase was fully implemented. The supply side continues to be tight, and some new capacity is put into production, but it is slightly weak to ease the current supply situation. At present, the sales of coking enterprises are very good, and the inventory is on the low side. In the near future, due to the cold weather, some steel mills have the intention to supplement due to cold weather. In terms of ports, the prices of the two ports in Shandong Province remained stable for the time being. The market trading was general, and the supply of goods available for sale in the market was on the low side. Some traders did not quote actively. In terms of price, the mainstream spot exchange ex warehouse price of quasi grade I metallurgical coke in port is about 2420 yuan / ton, the port inventory is temporarily stable, and the arrival situation is general. In the future, we still need to focus on the impact of de capacity and environmental protection and production restriction, as well as the coke inventory situation in each link. The market is still optimistic about the future market.
In terms of demand, the phosphoric acid market has been stable for a while, with little price changes. The downstream demand is stable and the transaction is good. The actual transaction is mainly through negotiation. The start-up of phosphate, phosphorus trichloride and phosphorus pentoxide was acceptable. All enterprises maintain the orders of old customers, and the demand for yellow phosphorus is better than expected.
3、 Future forecast
According to the yellow phosphorus analyst of chemical branch of business agency, the current yellow phosphorus market has turned better recently, the volume of goods taken by enterprises has gradually increased, the yellow phosphorus market has recovered, and the quotation of yellow phosphorus enterprises has stabilized. It is expected that the market price of yellow phosphorus will focus upward in the short term.
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