According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the domestic cocoon and silk market fluctuated slightly in November. As of November 18, the average price of raw silk market was 303500 yuan / ton, up 2.02% compared with the beginning of the month, down 25.34% year on year; the average price of dried cocoon market was 92000 yuan / ton, 1.71% higher than that at the beginning of the month, and 30.17% lower than that at the beginning of the month. At present, the price of dried cocoon and raw silk in Guangxi is 92000 yuan / ton and 302000 yuan / ton respectively.
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Affected by the sharp reduction of cocoon production in Guangxi this autumn, the price of cocoon has reached a new high since the epidemic. The purchase price of the fourth batch of cocoons is generally around 42-45 yuan / kg, the wool discount is 8.2-8.5, and the cocoon cost is 340000-350000 yuan. The quality of the fifth batch of cocoons is average, and the purchase price is lower than that of the previous batch. Due to the high cost of fresh cocoons and cocoons in Guangxi and other places, some factories are reluctant to sell the products to be produced due to the gradual delivery of previous batch orders. At present, high-quality raw silk is better than low-grade raw silk. There is a gap in raw materials of silk mills. The expectation of stopping production and reducing production has been enhanced, and the willingness to support prices is obvious.
In terms of the current silkworm chrysalis market and price, the loading price of domestic fresh pupae in Guangxi factories is generally around 13000-14000 yuan / ton, and that of grade B is 12000-13000 yuan / ton, and that of grade C is 11000-12000 yuan / ton. The middle price of basic loading is about 12500-13500 yuan / ton. Dry and wet pupae a 5000 – 6000 yuan / ton, B 4500 yuan / ton. Dry silkworm pupa feed 7200-7500 yuan / ton. Thailand’s receiving price is about 2350 US dollars / ton, Vietnam’s 20000 Dong / kg, and South Korea’s dry and wet pupae are about 1400 US dollars / ton.
With the end of this year’s reeling of fresh cocoons, the volume of goods decreased. In Northeast China, Shenyang market is the main market to prepare goods. The Spring Festival inventory in Shandong market has begun. The RMB exchange rate has been stable in recent years, and there is a tendency to stabilize after the rise of sea transportation price. The foreign Southeast Asian market starts to prepare goods on New Year’s Day, which is expected to have a positive impact on exports.
Since September, double 11 and Christmas orders, the traditional textile and clothing orders are still dense in the first and middle of October. Under the support of the “silver 10″ peak season, textile enterprises arranged orders more to the end of November, and some enterprises arranged orders to December. Textile enterprises maintained a high load of about 70% and accelerated to catch up with orders. This year’s double 11 e-commerce platforms made another good performance, showing the steady release of restorative consumption, the expected improvement of domestic consumption cycle and the rise of rigid consumption demand. Although the textile industry entered the traditional off-season in November, according to the information of China Textile City, most of the fabric markets are “market orders”. The characteristics of market goods are that they come fast and go quickly, and the duration is not long. With the approach of Christmas and Spring Festival, under the stimulation of holiday orders, the market cooling rate is limited in the short term.
The export market has performed well and has achieved positive growth for five consecutive months. From the textile and clothing export situation in October, we can see that China’s export of masks, protective clothing and other types of textiles still maintained a rapid growth. According to the latest data of the General Administration of customs, in October 2020, the export of textile and clothing reached US $24.84 billion, an increase of 10.7%, of which the export of textiles was US $11.66 billion, an increase of 15.7%, and that of clothing was US $13.18 billion, an increase of 6.6%. From January to October, textile and clothing exports totaled 240.62 billion US dollars, an increase of 9.5%, of which textile exports were 129.61 billion US dollars, an increase of 31.9%, and clothing exports were 111.01 billion US dollars, a decrease of 8.6%.
According to business agency analysts, foreign trade orders in November are expected to continue to increase compared with the previous month, demand from East Asia, West Asia, the Middle East, Africa and the Americas will continue to recover, and customer orders from European countries will also continue to be issued. In addition, with the advent of winter, frequent outbreaks of influenza and repeated outbreaks, the export of masks, protective clothing and other types of textiles still maintained a rapid growth, and is expected to drive the overall textile and clothing to continue to improve on a year-on-year basis. At the same time, RCEP signing may also benefit China’s textile and clothing exports, which will also have a positive impact on Cocoon and silk exports. On the domestic side, although the textile industry has entered the traditional off-season, products such as silk quilt have ushered in the peak sales season. The double-10-1 has just ended, and there will also be consumption such as double-12, new year’s day, Spring Festival and seasonal consumption. Overall, the cocoon silk market will remain strong shocks.
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