1、 Price trend
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As of October 21, the average price of refrigerant R22 was 13833.33 yuan / ton, down 6.74% from the beginning of the month, 6.74% month on month, and 0.72% lower than the same period last year, according to the monitoring of bulk data of business agency.
According to the monitoring of the bulk data of the business agency, as of October 21, the average price of refrigerant R134a was 15500 yuan / ton, down 0.43% from the beginning of the month, 0.43% month on month, and 34.97% lower than the same period last year.
2、 Market analysis
In October, the market of refrigerants is still poor, the demand continues to be weak, and the market is hard to find. The refrigerant industry chain is on the decline as a whole. The prices of various types of refrigerants continue to stay low. The manufacturers are under pressure to ship. The sales pressure is increasing. The raw material hydrofluoric acid is weak and stable. The support force is general. The export volume of refrigerant is expected to decline. The output of downstream air conditioning is low, and the demand is scarce. The after-sales market is in off- Continue to reduce the price of goods to seek good. On the whole, the refrigerant market is hard to find good factors, the price continues to be low or will become normal, and the transaction center of gravity begins to move down.
R22, October R22 market lower. Since the double festival, the price of R22 has generally fallen by 1000-2000 yuan / ton. The actual transaction has yielded more profits, and the manufacturers have reduced the load operation. Juhua company’s annual production capacity of 110000 tons is about 70% of the plant, and Shandong Dongyue chemical’s R22 annual production capacity of 220000 tons is about 80% of the start-up, which reduces the pressure of shipment. In October, the support of raw materials weakened and the support of demand side collapsed. Air conditioning enterprises started operation at a low level, and the demand for R22 was weak. At the same time, the export volume of R22 was lower than that of the same period last year. Under domestic and external troubles, R22 prices were easy to fall but difficult to rise. At present, the prices of mainstream manufacturers in R22 market are about 12500-16500 yuan / ton, but the actual transaction price is low.
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R134a, October R134a market weak stable operation. The price of raw materials fell, the supporting force began to weaken, but the demand side was not followed up enough, the car market was poor, and it was difficult to boost the market. The on-site supply of goods was sufficient, and the manufacturers started on the high side. Juhua company’s R134a annual production capacity of 60000 tons was about 80%, and Shandong Dongyue chemical’s R134a annual production capacity of 15000 tons was about 60% The contradiction between demand and R134a is not optimistic. At present, the prices of mainstream manufacturers in R134a market are around 15000-18000 yuan / ton, and the prices are stagnant in the short term.
Upstream hydrofluoric acid: on October 21, the mainstream price of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid manufacturers was 7700-8300 yuan / T. the factory price of domestic manufacturers remained stable. The domestic hydrofluoric acid manufacturers had a general operating rate, and the supply of goods on site was normal. Affected by the stable price of fluorite, however, the demand of downstream refrigerant industry was not good, and the on-site purchase was mainly based on demand. It is expected that the on-site price will remain low in the future.
At present, less than 60% of the domestic trichloromethane production enterprises are operating, and the overall inventory in the industry is low. In addition, the price of raw materials is still high, and the supply side support is good. However, the downstream refrigerant market has entered the off-season, the market starts on a low level, and the demand side supports chloroform insufficiently. The game between supply and demand is strong. At present, the quotation of Shandong Province is about 1850 yuan / ton, that of Jiangxi Liwen is about 2300 yuan / ton, and that of Jiangsu Province is about 2650 yuan / ton.
3、 Future forecast
According to the refrigerant analysts of the business agency, the current demand continues to be weak, the market is hard to find good, the overall downward trend of the refrigerant industry chain, manufacturers are under pressure to ship, the sales pressure is increasing, the price continues to be low or will become normal, and the transaction center of gravity begins to move down. It is expected that R22 and R134a will continue to operate weakly in the short term.
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