1、 Price trend
According to the monitoring of commodity data, the price of Yungui yellow phosphorus rose this week. The average price of yellow phosphorus was 15650 yuan / ton last Thursday and 15875 yuan / ton this Thursday. The price rose by 1.44% during the week.
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2、 Market analysis
This week, the overall trend of the domestic yellow phosphorus market is upward. The spot sales in the market are basically normal. The price in Yunnan is rising rapidly. The price in Sichuan has also increased. The price in Guizhou is relatively stable. Traders are more cautious in taking goods and mainly purchase on demand in the downstream. Up to now, the mainstream price of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan Province is about 16000 yuan / ton; that in Sichuan Province is about 15800 yuan / ton; in Guizhou Province, it is about 15700 yuan / ton. In November, the electricity prices in Yunnan and Sichuan were increased, and the production costs of yellow phosphorus enterprises increased. At present, the yellow phosphorus enterprises have successively raised their quotations.
In terms of raw materials, according to the monitoring of bulk commodity data, on October 14, the reference average price of 30% grade phosphate ore in domestic mainstream areas was around 386.67 yuan / ton, which was increased by 10 yuan / ton or 2.65% compared with October 1; compared with September 1, the average price was increased by 6.67 yuan / ton, or 1.76%. This week, most of China’s phosphate ore refineries raised the ex factory price of phosphate rock, mainly in Guizhou and Hebei, with an overall increase of 20 yuan / ton in Guizhou. At present, the quoted price of 30% grade phosphate ore is 300-350 yuan / ton, and the transaction price is around 290-330 yuan / ton; the overall increase range of Hebei Province is 10 yuan / ton, and the factory quotation reference of 30% grade phosphate ore is 450-550 yuan / ton. At present, after the high-end quotation of phosphate ore market, the trading is fair, and the procurement is mainly required.
In terms of coke, up to now, the price of coke is mainly stable. At present, the main production areas start higher, the inventory in the factory is relatively small, and the downstream replenishment demand is high, and most of them are on demand. The market price of Panzhihua coke (secondary metallurgical coke) was 2180 yuan / ton, which was temporarily stable compared with the previous trading day and increased by 100 yuan / ton compared with the same period last month. The mainstream price of Liupanshui coke (secondary metallurgical coke) was 2100 yuan / ton, which was flat compared with the previous trading day, and increased by 50 yuan / ton compared with the same period last month.
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In terms of demand, the sales of phosphoric acid are normal in various parts of the market this week, and the price has not changed significantly. Phosphate Market Spot tight, prices rose slightly. There are some favorable factors for the demand of yellow phosphorus.
3、 Future forecast
Chemical branch of the business club yellow phosphorus analysts believe that the price of yellow phosphorus this week. Next month, the electricity prices in Yunnan and Sichuan will be increased, the production cost of yellow phosphorus enterprises will increase, and the price of raw phosphorus ore will be increased. It has formed a good support for the yellow phosphorus enterprises. Forecast: the price of yellow phosphorus will increase slightly in the short term.
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