1、 Price trend:
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According to the data from the large list of business agencies, the domestic PA6 market fluctuated in September, and most of the spot brands were reduced. As of September 30, the mainstream offer price of 2.75-2.85 from traders was about 10433.33 yuan / ton, a decrease of 5.15% compared with the average price at the beginning of the month.
2、 Analysis of influencing factors:
The price of caprolactam in the upstream of PA6 rose first and then decreased in September. In the first half of the month, the price of raw material end pure benzene in Shandong increased slightly, and the price of styrene also rose, driving the domestic spot price of caprolactam to rise in the first half of the month. Business agency data showed that the monthly peak appeared on September 15. The average ex factory price of caprolactam was about 9650 yuan / ton, up 1.40% from the average price at the beginning of the month. Then the market began to decline. As of September 30, the average ex factory price of caprolactam fell to 9333.33 yuan / ton. Recently, some caprolactam enterprises resumed production, and the spot supply increased. Pure benzene in the middle of the market also fell into a standoff. It is expected that caprolactam market will decline steadily in the short term, and it is suggested to pay attention to terminal demand.
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The market trend of PA6 in September was weak, and the upstream lactam price recovered at the beginning of the month, and the cost side support was strengthened. But on the whole, the lack of direction guidance good news, PA6 after a small rise began to adjust downward. The monthly high of 11033.33 yuan / ton of average price appeared early on September 3. At present, the demand level of downstream factories is not high, and the order follow-up is weak. Among them, the transaction of high-speed spinning chips is particularly slow, and the situation that downstream factories are still in stock is common in conventional spinning. Affected by this, there is resistance in the shipment of merchants. In terms of operation, it is inclined to make profits and take orders, and the atmosphere of inquiry is weak. The overall trend of the far end crude oil in September was also unsatisfactory, and the market confidence was insufficient, which did not improve the market atmosphere of PA6. Only the overall operating rate of nylon filament is good for the price of PA6, but the current overall demand is weak and difficult to change, and the market of PA6 is relatively difficult.
3、 Future forecast:
Business agency analysts believe: domestic PA6 market weakened in September, and spot prices of various brands were mostly reduced. The upstream caprolactam price rose first and then fell, and the cost side support of PA6 was unstable. Downstream factory inventory is more sufficient, take goods just need to operate, occasionally there are bargain hunting, inquiry atmosphere is relatively weak. Business mentality is not strong, the operation of the real single to let profit go. Recently, PA6 market is affected by multiple negative effects such as weak demand, which is expected to be difficult to improve in the short term.
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