he domestic acetone market showed a trend of falling first and then rising in August, and the momentum of the rise was sufficient near the end of the month. According to the monitoring data of the business agency, on August 1, the national average price of acetone was 6100 yuan / ton, on August 8, the national average price of acetone was 5362 yuan / ton, with the market down by 12.09%; on August 31, the average price of national acetone market was 6370 yuan / ton, and the market was up 18.79% in the middle and late ten days. Among them, the East China market declined from 5800 yuan / ton on August 1 to 5250 yuan / ton on August 7, and the East China market fell by 9.48% in the first ten days, 6380 yuan / ton by the end of the month, and 21.52% in the acetone market in the middle and late ten days.
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Average price trend of acetone in national market
In September, the acetone market continued its upward trend. The offer in East China was as high as 6850 yuan / ton, and the average price of acetone in the national market was over 6700 yuan / ton. And the current acetone supply is relatively concentrated, the factory raised the price many times, the market confidence is sufficient.
Average price trend of acetone in East China market
At the beginning of August, petrochemical enterprises concentrated to drop 600 yuan / ton to 5800 yuan / ton. However, with the expected broadcast of a large amount of acetone arriving in Hong Kong, the shippers were under pressure and were anxious to ship goods. Low price goods were frequently found in the market. The market was once down to 5250 yuan / T. at this time, the bottom reading mentality increased, the replenishment mood of terminal factories increased, the volume of real offer continued to increase, and the enthusiasm of intermediate traders to enter the market increased In the case of large volume and increasing market inquiries, the activity has been significantly improved. In the middle of the year, the market has reversed. Large factories have been stocked in the market, and there are also large traders receiving goods. The market has stopped falling and pushed up.
In the middle and late ten days, the market continued to rise, and domestic factories raised their listing prices to help the market. At this time, affected by the typhoon, the arrival of imported goods was delayed, the unloading was delayed, and the port inventory continued to decline. The market quotation continued to rise, and the market price continued to rise, so it was difficult to find a low price. As of the end of August, the mainstream offer in East China was 6400 yuan / ton, that in South China was 6450 yuan / ton, that in Shandong was 6400 yuan / ton, and that in surrounding areas of Yanshan was 6250 yuan / ton. As of the end of August, the domestic plant operation was at a high level, about 90%. Sinopec’s 400000 T / a phenol ketone plant was restarted on August 24. Zhejiang Petrochemical Company has started but has not yet discharged materials. The operating rate of other petrochemical plants is above 90%. It is estimated that the 150000 T / a phenol ketone plant in blue star Harbin will be shut down for one month in early September, and other plants will remain in the current state.
In August, the raw material support was good, in which Sinopec’s pure benzene price increased by 100-150 yuan / ton, the mainstream market offer was 3450 yuan / ton, the cumulative price increase of acetone in Sinopec was about 200 yuan / ton, the implementation of 6850-6900 yuan / ton, the cost of phenol and ketone increased, and the co product of acetone phenol declined slightly under the deadlock in August, so there is more profit space for the phenol ketone factory Focus on acetone market.
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At present, the market in September is very good, and the factory has raised the factory price slightly in two working days. At present, Sinopec’s offer is 6500-6600 yuan / ton, while the East China market’s offer is pushed up to 6850 yuan / T. in September, Bluestar Harbin phenol ketone plant has a maintenance plan, but it is expected that in September, the 650000 T / a phenol ketone plant of Zhejiang Petrochemical may produce products, and the theoretical value of domestic acetone supply There will be an increase. The supply of imported goods will be normally supplied in accordance with the contract for the time being. On the whole, the supply side is relatively adequate.
From the downstream point of view, the operating rates of isopropanol, MMA and MIBK are relatively stable, but the market offer is relatively firm, and the operating rate of bisphenol a still has a tightening trend. Among them, the average operating rate of other units is 85% in Sinopec Mitsubishi unit shutdown, and the market offer of bisphenol A has been pushed up to more than 11000 yuan / ton, which shows that the downstream of the industrial chain is generally better.
From the perspective of business associations, since August, more than 100 chemical products tested by the business associations show that the chemical industry index has shown a unilateral upward trend. On August 1, the chemical industry index was 662 points, and as of September 2, the chemical industry index was 694 points, up 4.74%. The chemical industry chain showed a steady upward trend. From the industry point of view, “gold nine silver ten” is worth looking forward to, but the current acetone market starts high and comprehensive From the point of view, the operating rate has little change, while the purchase of terminal factories is stable and recommended. In terms of import, the near ocean source of goods is general, but the contract transportation is normal. The business association predicts that the short-term acetone market will remain at a high level, estimated at 6800-7000 yuan / T, but the market lacks sustained action. In terms of the overall upward trend of the industry, the market in September is worth looking forward to. However, after the epidemic, many people in the industry predicted that the market would recover in stages this year. It is impossible for the market to continue to rise unilaterally. It should be a periodic upward trend in repeated periods. It is expected that the trend of acetone market will be basically consistent with that of the chemical industry.
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