Commodity index: on August 31, the polyacrylamide commodity index was 85.64, which was the same as yesterday, 20.06% lower than 107.13 (2019-05-08), and 3.32% higher than the lowest point of 82.89 on August 02, 2020. (Note: cycle refers to the period from April 1, 2019 to now)
ferric sulfate (Poly ferric sulphate) |
According to the monitoring data, in August, polyacrylamide (CPAM, cation, molecular weight 12 million, 10-30 ionic degree) showed a trend of rising first and then decreasing slightly. On the first day, the mainstream quotation was 13566.67 yuan / ton, and on the 31st was 14016.67 yuan / ton, with a monthly increase of 3.32%. From the perspective of manufacturers’ quotations, most quotations were stable, and a few manufacturers lowered their quotations to promote inventory consumption.
Among them, the mainstream quotation range of polyacrylamide this month is as follows: cationic, molecular weight 12 million (10-30 ionic degree) offer 14000-15000 yuan / ton, up 1000 yuan / ton; anion: molecular weight 10 million yuan / ton, molecular weight 12 million yuan / ton, 7800-10500 yuan / ton, molecular weight 14 million solid particles 9000-11500 yuan / ton, molecular weight 16 million solid particles 9600-10500 yuan / ton/ The price of solid particles is 10400-11000 yuan / ton with molecular weight of 18 million yuan, and that of powder with molecular weight of 18-20 million yuan / ton is 12000-12500 yuan / ton; that of non-ionic is about 12000-13000 yuan / ton.
The price of upstream acrylonitrile was quoted at 7600 yuan / ton at the beginning of this month, with a monthly increase of 850 yuan / ton, and 8450 yuan / ton on the 31st daily. Plant dynamics: in August, the settlement price of main acrylonitrile manufacturers was concentrated at 7800 yuan / ton. Jilin chemical fiber Qifeng and Jimeng acrylic fiber plants planned to stop for maintenance on August 28 for 10-15 days, affecting the acrylic fiber output of about 15000 tons. Shanghai SECCO’s acrylonitrile listing price rose by 300 yuan / ton this week and implemented 7900 yuan / ton. In terms of downstream demand, August is still at the end of the off-season sales season. The high temperature affects the construction demand, so it is inevitable that the market will be light. At present, it will enter September soon and the “golden nine silver ten” will come soon.
Benzalkonium chloride |
From the perspective of industry, since 2020, the prosperity of environmental protection water treatment industry is poor. During the period from January Spring Festival holiday to February 20, relevant enterprises in main production areas stopped production and delayed to resume work. After February 20, the manufacturers in the main production areas gradually returned to work and production. In March, logistics returned to normal, mainly consumed inventory. In April, the manufacturers survived normally, and the raw material cost was partly reduced and the demand was weak, which led to the high inventory of manufacturers. On May 6, the national high-speed recovery of charges, the price of acrylonitrile and other raw materials rose, the ex factory price of polyacrylamide did not change much, and there were more stocks; with the upstream propylene of acrylonitrile rising in the industrial chain relationship of “propylene PP melt blown cloth mask”, the production capacity of acrylonitrile manufacturers decreased this month, which directly led to the firm price of acrylonitrile. In July, the price of acrylonitrile was sharply reduced, and the cost of polyacrylamide was lowered. Some enterprises lowered the price of their products according to the trend, and then rebounded in the second half of the month. However, the prices of manufacturers did not change significantly. In fact, most manufacturers hoarded raw materials, and the cost of purchasing determined the price and cost. In August, acrylonitrile continued to rebound slightly, and then continued to be stable. From this month to September and October, it immediately entered the “golden nine silver ten”, and the traditional peak season can be expected.
After the market forecast, the business agency analysis believes that the price of acrylonitrile, the raw material of polyacrylamide, continued to rise in August, although the range did not exceed 1000 yuan / ton, but due to the large inventory pressure of acrylonitrile amide manufacturers, the price was slightly reduced to promote inventory consumption. For the future market trend, inventory driven by the traditional sales peak season, the inventory may decline faster, the market transaction atmosphere can be improved, and the future market can be expected.
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