Commodity index: on July 13, the commodity index of polyaluminum chloride was 93.92, which was the same as yesterday, setting a new historical low in the cycle, down 13.84% from the highest point of 109.01 on August 28, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to the period from April 1, 2019 to now)
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According to the data, polyaluminum chloride in the first ten days of July 2020 showed a slight fluctuation trend. This month, domestic manufacturers’ price adjustment was more frequent than that in the first half of the year, the market was light, and the downward pressure was great; for polyaluminum chloride with solid content ≥ 28%, the mainstream quotation was about 1762 yuan / ton on the first day of this month, and about 1737 yuan / ton on the 13th, with a price drop of 1.42%. At present, the price range of polyaluminium chloride monitored by the trade organization is generally quoted: liquid: industrial grade, content 10%-12%) quoted price is 400 yuan / ton; solid: industrial grade, content 20-21% quoted price 770-860 yuan / ton, content 24% quoted price 1200 yuan / ton, content 28% price 1450-1550 yuan / ton, content is more than 30%, price 1500-1600 yuan / ton, plate and frame type: 28% yuan, price 1500-1550 yuan / ton; spray type: content is more than 30%. The quotation is 1800-1850 yuan / ton; drinking water level: 1700 yuan / ton if the content is more than or equal to 28%; food grade: about 2800 yuan / ton if the content is 30%. In the first half of July, the price of various specifications of polyaluminum chloride was reduced by about 50 yuan / ton, and the demand and transaction atmosphere did not improve much. The manufacturers lowered the price once a day, and then generally once again, but each time the price was relatively small.
According to the data of the business agency, the mainstream ex factory price of hydrochloric acid in North China fluctuated and decreased in July and rose slightly at the end of the month. On July 1, 312 yuan / ton, and on July 6, the mixed price of hydrochloric acid in Shandong increased by 38.50 yuan / ton, or 12%, compared with the quotation on March 3. 355 yuan / ton was quoted on the 13th. The actual transaction price of manufacturers is subject to negotiation. From the upstream and downstream industrial chain of hydrochloric acid, the upstream liquid chlorine market is general, the downstream purchasing enthusiasm is normal, and the support for hydrochloric acid is weak. The low-level consolidation of the downstream silica market has a negative impact on hydrochloric acid, while the high-level consolidation of the downstream ammonium chloride market has a certain support for the price of hydrochloric acid. This week, the overall hydrochloric acid market seems to have fallen slightly, and the difficulty of hydrochloric acid delivery is still a major problem. Downstream: according to the manufacturer, the market of polyaluminum chloride did not improve greatly in 2020. In July, the market was still in general, and the price did not rise, but there were several small decreases.
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As far as the whole industry is concerned, from 2020 to now, during the Spring Festival holiday to February 20, relevant enterprises in the main production areas have stopped production and delayed to resume work; after February 20, manufacturers in main production areas have successively resumed their work and production; in March, logistics has gradually recovered, and transportation costs have returned to normal; in April, the overall production is normal, some enterprises still have high inventory due to difficulties in delivery, and the output is affected; in May, polyaluminum chloride (PACl) has entered The overall demand has not recovered, the market situation is poor, the shipment is general, and the transaction continues to be weak; in June, the raw materials changed little, and the natural gas used for drying rebounded by about 1% from the bottom this month, and then turned down, with a slight drop of about 0.25% this month, which has little impact on the market. The downstream demand of polyaluminum chloride is still weak, which is the industrial environment of water treatment, and the overall situation in the first half of the year has not changed much. In July, under the influence of the weak environment, the market demand is not good, the market of polyaluminum will inevitably continue to be weak, and the sales pressure is great. The small price reduction is more obvious in the first half of this month.
With regard to the future market, the business agency analyzed that the water treatment industry had slightly reduced the price since the beginning of the month, but the overall reduction rate is not large, but the frequency is more than that in the previous few months. Under the light industrial environment, the trend of polyaluminum chloride will not change much, but the overall price reduction will not be particularly large. For raw materials in this month, some manufacturers reported that the price changes of calcium powder and hydrochloric acid are obvious, which has a significant impact on the manufacturers purchasing this month, but has little impact on the manufacturers with stock. The downstream demand is the biggest influencing factor, and if the demand atmosphere does not change, the market will be difficult to improve. For the future market, the price stability is still the main line, and a small reduction may still be more frequent.
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