In June, the acetone market soared rapidly, and then the trading volume of few markets fell sharply. At present, the price in East China fell below 10000 yuan.
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Acetone market trend in East China in June
In June, the acetone market rose sharply. According to the monitoring data of the business agency, the national market average price was 8850 yuan / ton in June 1, 12250 yuan / ton in June 10, with an overall increase of 38.14%. As of June 23, the national market price was 10225 yuan / ton, down 16.36% from the middle of the year. Today, the mainstream factories have not dropped 600-1300 yuan / ton, and the mainstream East China region has reported It fell below 10000 yuan for the first time since the downturn. The offers of domestic mainstream factories and regions on the main nodes are shown in the table below. Up to now, the supply and demand averages are negative, and the market may continue to decline. Specifically:
Average price trend of acetone in the national market in June
Quotation of mainstream factories and market in June
First, the import supply increased significantly in the last ten days, and Panasonic acetone could not resist the downward trend. It is understood that since June 10, acetone has been replenished in large quantities to Hong Kong, which are nearly 2000 tons replenished from Taiwan on June 10, 5800 tons replenished from West China on June 14-15, 4000 tons replenished from West China on June 19. It is estimated that 6000 tons of imported acetone will be replenished in East China during the Dragon Boat Festival, and 2000-3000 tons of imported acetone will still be replenished at the end of the month. Therefore, the import of acetone to Hong Kong will increase significantly in the late ten days 。
In terms of domestic plants, in May, Zhongsha Tianjin and Changshu Changchun units were shut down, and the overall operating rate was not adjusted much in June. Some plants were suspended for one week for maintenance, and then resumed production, so the supply of domestic plants was relatively stable. To sum up, in June, the acetone market showed a roller coaster market, and the supply side saw that the import source had a greater impact on it.
Second, the demand side market reported a significant decline or a weak trend to stabilize, and the operating rate of the mainstream terminal factories fell sharply. If all the downstream MIBK plants continue to shut down, the offer price in MIBK market is high and strong, but the transaction in the late market is obviously insufficient. The current offer price in East China is 15000-15800 yuan / ton, which is not optimistic after the cost collapse. MMA’s market trend follows acetone’s trend. After entering the middle of June, the market tends to be stable and then its focus falls. The atmosphere of on-site negotiation is obviously insufficient.
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Isopropanol, the most important terminal of the epidemic, is unsalable in the overseas market. The high price has been replaced by other alcohol killing products one after another. The price has declined significantly, and the operating rate of some factories has been reduced due to the reduction of orders in the last ten days.
The downstream BPA market, supported by the cost in the first ten days, was constantly pushed up by the offer, but after the middle of the year, it entered into the state of no market with price, then many profit traders sold at low price, and the actual transaction price of the market continued to be explored. Up to now, the negotiation range of the BPA market in East China is 11700-11900 yuan / ton, with a significant drop compared with that in the middle of the year when it rose to 12800 yuan / ton.
In the view of the business community, the acetone market is supported by the demand of the disinfection market. The price has set a historical record. After the sharp rise, there will be a big drop. The current supply is significantly improved, and the terminal disinfectant Market is not irreplaceable. The high disinfectant is bound to have substitutes. The export orders in the late ten days are obviously reduced, and the market selling phenomenon is increasing. However, the disinfectant Market is still just in demand, and the price is back to normal There is still a market after sex. Under the game of supply and demand, the demand for raw materials is also gradually stable. The business community expects that the acetone market will continue to decline, and the trading volume will increase significantly before the festival. At present, the mainstream market has fallen below 10000 yuan, and the short-term negotiation range in East China is 9600-9900 yuan / ton.
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