1、 Price trend
According to the data monitoring of the business agency, as of June 11, the market reference average price of 30% grade phosphorus ore was 393 yuan / ton, basically the same as that of June 1, and the average price decreased by 13 yuan / ton, or 3.28% compared with that of May 1. At present, the reference price of primary and high-end 30% grade phosphate ore in the mainstream area is around 300-430 yuan / ton. On June 10, the phosphorus ore commodity index was 72.17, the same as yesterday, down 38.74% from 117.80 (2012-07-09), the highest point in the cycle, and up 40.46% from 51.38, the lowest point on December 24, 2018. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now)
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In June, the overall market of China’s phosphorus ore market is weak, and the weak market in many regions mainly maintains stable operation. With the arrival of the traditional off-season, the downstream procurement enthusiasm is not high, and the demand is not smooth. At present, most of the mines mainly supply contract customers. As of June 11, the phosphate ore market in Guizhou Province has been stable for the time being, and the reference price of 30% grade phosphate ore is around 300-350 yuan / ton. Yunnan area: the downstream demand is limited, the phosphate rock is generally shipped, and the quotation of 29% grade phosphate ore car plate is around 280-310 yuan / ton. Hubei Province: the market of phosphorus ore is dominated by weak finishing operation, and the price of 30% grade phosphorus ore (high phosphorus and low magnesium ore) shipboard is 390-420 yuan / ton. Guangxi region: the weak operation of phosphate ore market is the main one, the factory price of 28% grade phosphate rock is around 280-320 yuan / ton, and the factory price of 30% grade phosphate rock is around 320-360 yuan / ton.
According to national data, China’s phosphorus ore (p2o530%) output in April was 7.573 million tons, 3.1 million tons higher than that in March (5.454 million tons). At present, the cumulative output of phosphate rock in this year is 19.328 million tons, down – 20.9% compared with the same period last year (29.229 million tons).
According to the business association, China’s phosphorus ore output in 2020 is as follows:
China’s phosphorus ore production in 2020
Target April 2020 March 2020 February 2020
Phosphate rock (including 30% of P2O5) output current value (10000 tons) 757.3 545.4—
Total output of phosphate rock (30% of P2O5) 1932.8 1337.0 723.7
The output of phosphate rock (containing 30% of P2O5) increased by 7.6-30.3% year on year–
Cumulative increase of phosphate rock output (%) -20.9-29.1-30.9
China’s phosphorus ore output in 2020
According to the data monitoring of business agency, on June 10, 2020, the price of phosphate rock in some parts of the country:
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Enterprise name grade specification date price (yuan / ton) remarks
Guizhou Fuquan Huifa 30% raw ore, June 11, 350 yuan, factory price
Guizhou Fuquan Huifa 28% raw ore June 11 310 yuan factory price
Platform price of 30% raw ore of Kaiyang Mining Co., Ltd. in Guizhou Province at 310 yuan on June 11
30% of the original ore of Xifeng Mining Co., Ltd. in Guizhou Province
Guangxi songgan trade 30% raw ore June 11 350 yuan factory price
28% of raw ore in songgan trade, Guangxi, RMB 310 on June 11
Guizhou Qingli group 30% raw ore, June 11, 300 yuan car plate price
30% high phosphorus and low magnesium ore of Liushugou Mining Co., Ltd. in Hubei Province
22% of the original ore of Guizhou Qidu Tiancheng Mining Co., Ltd. on June 11, 140 yuan of car plate price
In the downstream, since the beginning of June, the yellow phosphorus market has declined, with the overall price reduction as the main factor and limited support for the phosphorus ore market. In June, Yunnan Province entered into the wet season. After the implementation of the wet season electricity price, the cost of enterprises fell, and the price of yellow phosphorus market dropped significantly. Downstream is more resistant to high prices. At present, the main quotation of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan is about 15000 yuan / ton. The quotation in Guizhou is about 14900 yuan / ton. The quotation in Sichuan is about 15000 yuan / ton. The overall market sales situation is general, the downstream purchase is more cautious, and the purchase is on demand.
Generally speaking, the phosphate ore analysts of the business association believe that the phosphate ore market is in the low season at present, the downstream demand is weak, and the market trading is cold. It is expected that the recent market price changes are limited, and it is not excluded that some regions make small price concessions in actual negotiations for the accumulation of orders in the later period, so as to drive the market downward adjustment.
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