Good results from the shutdown of several aniline plants in February (February 1-28, 2020)

1、 Price trend

 

According to the data in the large scale list of business associations, the price of aniline in Nanjing was 6800 yuan / ton on February 1, 6400 yuan / ton in Shandong, and 7300 yuan / ton on February 28.

 

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2、 Analysis and comment

 

1. Raw materials: affected by the epidemic, crude oil and pure benzene in the outer plate fell sharply. Domestic: the downstream of pure benzene has low starting load and limited demand; the transportation is relatively limited and the overall trading atmosphere of the market is not active.

 

Nitric acid: nitric acid fluctuated downward this month. On February 1, the price of nitric acid in East China was 1583.33 yuan / ton, and on February 28, the price was 1550 yuan / ton, with a monthly decrease of 2.11%.

 

2. Product: in February, there are more parking devices in aniline factory, which brings good supply. Jinmao did not produce in February, Shandong Huatai plant recovered on February 20, and Jinling plant was shut down on February 12.

 

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3、 Future forecast

 

1. In terms of raw materials: the Northeast large-scale refinery rotation and reorganization has been restarted, the later load will be gradually increased, the supply pressure will be further increased, and the short-term pure benzene market is difficult to improve significantly. Late market attention to downstream resumption.

 

The unit of aniline enterprise was restarted, the output was increased, and the inventory was accumulated due to the soft downstream purchase. Aniline is expected to weaken.

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