1、 Price trend
According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the domestic refrigerant R134a market is temporarily stable this week. On February 10, the average ex factory price of mainstream manufacturers was 23333.33 yuan / ton, and the average weekend price was 23333.33 yuan / ton. This week’s market was temporarily stable. On February 14, the R134a commodity index was 85.37, flat with yesterday, down 14.63% from the highest point of 100.00 (2019-09-02), and up 2.94% from the lowest point of 82.93 on November 12, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2019-09-01 till now)
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2、 Market analysis
Product: R134a market of refrigerant market is stable temporarily this week. This week, the trend of hydrofluoric acid at the raw material end rose, supporting refrigerant R134a. However, at present, the transportation is limited. In addition, the downstream demand has not been started yet. The supply and demand of R134a are roughly balanced, and the price maintains stable operation. According to the price monitoring of business agency, as of February 14, R134a price is concentrated around 21500 yuan / ton – 25000 yuan / ton.
Industry chain: this week, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid is rising. Recently, the factory in the field is not in good condition. Some factories have not resumed production due to the impact of the epidemic. In addition, the transportation is slow to change. The domestic spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is tight. In addition, the inventory of enterprises not shut down during the Spring Festival is exhausted, and the purchase demand is increased. The market price of hydrofluoric acid is higher. The terminal air-conditioning enterprises delayed the start-up, the on-site inventory was acceptable, and the demand for refrigerant R134a was weak.
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Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the sixth week of 2020 (2.10-2.14), there are 16 kinds of commodities rising month on month in the list of commodity prices in the chemical sector. The top three commodities rising are dichloromethane (5.00%), polyaluminium chloride (3.54%) and propane (3.38%). There are 18 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, with 2 kinds of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 2.4% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top 3 products falling are butadiene (- 13.52%), propylene oxide (- 5.11%) and liquid ammonia (- 4.89%). This week’s average was – 0.26%.
3、 Future forecast
According to the refrigerant analyst of the business association, some enterprises of refrigerant R134a have not started work at present, and the traffic is limited. It is expected that the price of refrigerant R134a will be lowered when the new capacity is put into use after the formal resumption of work.
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