1、 Price trend
According to the price monitoring of business agency, the average price of domestic refrigerant R134a on January 7 was 23333.33 yuan / ton, up 0.72% compared with the previous day, and the R134a commodity index on January 7 was 85.37, up 0.61 points compared with yesterday, down 14.63% compared with the highest point of 100.00 (2019-09-02), and up 2.94% compared with the lowest point of 82.93 on November 12, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2019-09-01 till now)
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2、 Market analysis
Product: Refrigerant Market R134a after new year’s Day is rising steadily. At present, the market of hydrofluoric acid and chloroform at the raw material end is relatively stable, which is good for refrigerant R134a. In addition, the stock of R134a in the automobile industry begins to return to temperature, and the demand end is also good for refrigerant R134a. At present, the market supply is still tight and the price trend is strong. According to the price monitoring of the business agency, as of January 7, the price is concentrated at 21500 yuan / ton – 25000 yuan / ton.
Industry chain: the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid and hydrofluoric acid of upstream products is stable temporarily. In the near future, the factory in the field is in a general situation, and the spot supply in the field is normal. Terminal, air conditioning market purchase and sales two weak, on-site inventory is still OK, insufficient operation, the automotive industry stock back temperature, good refrigerant R134a price.
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Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, there are 13 kinds of commodities in the list of rise and fall of bulk commodity prices on January 6, 2020, among which the top three commodities are hydrogen peroxide (2.95%), phenol (2.93%) and TDI (2.03%). There are 15 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and 1 kind of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 1.2% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products falling are liquid ammonia (- 7.88%), acetone (- 4.08%), lithium carbonate (- 2.70%). The average price of this day was – 0.13%.
3、 Future forecast
According to the refrigerant analyst of the business club, in the near future, the raw material end and demand end are favorable for refrigerant R134a. In addition, the supply of refrigerant R134a is still tight in the market due to the demand for refrigerant R134a in the automobile industry. It is expected that the price of refrigerant R134a will continue to rise in the short term.
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