Price Trend
The average price of phosphoric acid was 5066.67 yuan/ton on September 01 and 5466.67 yuan/ton on September 26, up by 7.89% compared with the same period last year, up by 22.85%.
II. Market Analysis
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Products: In September, the price of yellow phosphorus at raw material end has returned to a high level. Spot markets around the world are very tight. The price of thermo-process phosphoric acid market is well supported by raw material end, and the price continues to rise. As of September 26, the average market price of 85% industrial purified water phosphoric acid is around 5466.67 yuan/ton. Hubei Xingfa Group quotes 5000 yuan/ton, Wengfudazhou 5200 yuan/ton, Beijing Hangxing Hongda quotes 5400 yuan/ton, Guangxi Mingli Group quotes 6000 yuan/ton, Qianrui Chemical quotes 4600 yuan/ton, Sichuan Kanglong Chemical quotes 5000 yuan/ton, Kunming South Yunnan industry and trade quoted 6000 yuan/ton. Price increases vary from place to place.
In September, the raw material yellow phosphorus market was not stable, and the conductive phosphoric acid Market fluctuated. The main reason for this round of increase is the influence of “Three Phosphorus Regulation” on yellow phosphorus supply. Spot supply is on the tight side, and demand in the lower reaches has improved slightly. Phosphoric acid enterprises are under pressure to increase their offer. But phosphoric acid enterprises mostly just need to purchase, cautious wait-and-see mentality is rising, individual enterprises are short of supply, suspend quotation, terminal market just needs limited, high price acceptance is limited, actual trading is general. After the Mid-Autumn Festival, the supply of yellow phosphorus market increased slightly, and the price remained at a high level. Phosphoric acid enterprises just needed to purchase, and the price rose. With the National Day approaching, the supply of phosphoric acid enterprises is mainly in the downstream before the festival. Phosphoric acid enterprises are well supported by the raw material end, and the willingness to bid is obvious. The quotations of mainstream enterprises have increased in varying degrees. At present, the pre-Festival delivery plan of phosphoric acid enterprises is full, and a small amount of terminal replenishment is still cautious.
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Industry chain: In recent years, the price quotation in the mainstream areas of the phosphate ore market continues to be stable, and the demand is weak. At this stage, most of the mining enterprises mainly sell orders in the early stage, the market transaction atmosphere is light. Before the National Day, a small number of mining enterprises have begun to stop production, mostly selling stocks, reducing production and maintaining stability. Price. The yellow phosphorus market has recently started some installations in Yunnan and Guizhou, with an increase in spot supply, a strong sense of wait-and-see among enterprises, the basic end of stockpiling before National Day, weak demand of phosphoric acid enterprises and stable market.
Industry: According to the price monitoring of business associations, in the 37 th week of 2019 (9.16-9.20), the price of phosphorus chemical industry rose and fell in two kinds of commodities, fell in a total of 0 kinds of commodities, and rose and fell in three kinds of commodities. The main commodities that rose were phosphoric acid (2.53%) and yellow phosphorus (1.77%) with an average increase or decrease of 0.86% this week.
3. Future Market Forecast
Phosphoric acid analyst of Business Society Chemical Branch believes that the current pre-Festival delivery plan of phosphoric acid enterprises is full, with a small amount of replenishment. It is expected that the market price of phosphoric acid will be mainly inventory in the short term.
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