Similarly, urea in mixed-trace nitrogen fertilizer circle is closely related to ammonium chloride. The market trend may converge and the price will influence each other. It can be replaced to some extent in the raw materials of compound fertilizer and mixed fertilizer. Of course, it is well known that this need not be discussed. Therefore, the trend of urea is particularly important for ammonium chloride enterprises. Recently, the urea market has been rising and falling again. At present, urea factory quotations, transaction prices and grass-roots wholesale prices have fallen, and large, small and medium-sized farmers and merchants have indicated that there is a market situation everywhere. Most of them are short-sighted about the future trend of urea. At this time, if the ammonium chloride enterprises are thinking, they are worried that the falling price of urea will “affect” the ammonium chloride, and whether the ammonium chloride will suffer a double blow under 80% of the start of construction.
At present, the domestic ammonium chloride market is generally good. Spot is tight, most enterprises can issue orders until the end of the month or mid-May, most enterprises still need to control the status of receiving orders or have not received orders for nearly a month; there is also a tentative small increase in the high price part, and the arrival speed in the circulation market is slow, such as the arrival price of dry ammonium along the Yangtze River is about 730-750 yuan/ton, the arrival price of dry ammonium in central China is about 850-900 yuan/ton, and Huazhong is about 850-900 yuan/ton. The price of dry ammonium in the eastern part is about 780-830 yuan/ton, the price of car plates in Yunnan and Guangxi is about 760-800 yuan/ton, while in the Northeast market, unlike other areas, the demand is at the end, the replenishment is limited, the supply of dry ammonium in the Bayuquan Port is sufficient, and the selling price is reduced to about 840-850 yuan/ton. Is ammonium chloride self-insured when urea market weakens and ammonium chloride starts to rebound?
| Azodicarbonamide (AC foaming Agent) |
On the one hand, 80% of the joint alkali enterprises started construction, and the short-term trend continues to rise. At present, the maintenance of an ammonium chloride enterprise in Anhui is scheduled to resume production on the 22nd. The load of an ammonium bichloride enterprise in Jiangsu is on the low side and will resume next week. Now a few large ammonium chloride plants in Sichuan and Jiangsu are still under overload production. In addition, the soda ash market is good, and the factory continues to push up its price, so the enterprise will maintain a high start-up, and the output of ammonium chloride will increase accordingly. However, some ammonium chloride enterprises in Guangxi, Hunan, Dalian and Gansu still stop for a long period of time, among which the plant of one ammonium chloride plant in Dalian will be delayed to the second half of the year, and the rest of the enterprises that have stopped for a long time may not resume production; and a short-term overhaul of a plant in Jiangsu at the end of April, and a large ammonium chloride plant in Jiangsu and Chongqing in early and late May are scheduled to carry out a half-month overhaul, when the supply of ammonium The volume will decrease.
On the other hand, the entanglement of the alternating stage of spring and summer demand. At the end of the Spring Festival in Northeast China, the demand for ammonium chloride will be reduced obviously, not to mention that only a small amount of ammonium chloride will be replenished in the later period. In terms of the sufficient supply of ammonium chloride from the market and ports, the high-price ammonium chloride in Northeast China will continue to fall under pressure, and the stop of some compound fertilizer plants or extruded granular ammonium chloride plants will obviously reduce the demand for ammonium chloride. At the end, the production enterprises have completed the execution of the orders to be issued. In the alternate gap stage between spring and summer, the terminal will produce resistance to the high-price raw material fertilizer, and the purchasing volume will gradually decrease. However, the expected value of high nitrogen fertilizer is high in the summer of May. At present, the start-up of compound fertilizer enterprises is slowly rising to about 55.14%. Considering the cost, some compound fertilizer and BB fertilizer enterprises will choose ammonium chloride and extruded granules as raw materials.
| EDTA |
Finally, the negative impact of urea on ammonium chloride is limited. At present, the urea market is weak and the price falls slightly. From the starting point of urea enterprises’gradual recovery, some manufacturers say that their prices still have a downward trend in May, but the liquid ammonia market is rising steadily, with more ex-factory prices of about 3000-3500 yuan/ton. If the urea prices continue to fall, the production focus of the factory will be tilted. To liquid ammonia, alleviate the pressure of urea shipment and save the price of urea. In addition to India’s possible tender in early May, prophase hype is indispensable, which means that the price of urea should fall to a limited extent, and there is still a certain price difference with ammonium chloride. As a raw material, low-cost ammonium chloride has relative advantages.
Generally speaking, the rebound of falling urea and ammonium chloride is bad for the future trend of ammonium chloride; however, the overall ammonium chloride market is still dominated by favorable conditions, such as sufficient waiting for issuance, enterprise control orders, successive start-up of fertilizer in summer, etc. It is expected that the ammonium chloride market will continue to maintain a good trend in the short term, with high prices and stable operation as the main, cautious and correct, but not “grass and trees are all”. Soldiers.
| Melamine |