Monthly Archives: January 2020

Sulfur market continues to decline in 2019

1、 Price trend

 

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the price of sulfur continued to decline in 2019. At the beginning of the year, the average ex factory price of sulfur in East China was 1360 yuan / ton, and at the end of the year, the average ex factory price was 503.33 yuan / ton, a 62.99% drop in the year. At the end of the year, the price was also the lowest price in 2019, and the highest price in the year was 1433.33 yuan / ton.

 

Benzalkonium chloride

2、 Market analysis

 

In the first stage, from the beginning of the year to the beginning of March, affected by the long Spring Festival holiday of traditional festivals and the overall downturn of downstream demand, the delivery of production enterprises all over the country presents different pressures. In the downstream, due to the poor delivery of compound fertilizer enterprises and the reduction of the operating rate, the monoammonium market in the ammonium phosphate Market is in weak operation as a whole, while the new export orders of diammonium enterprises are in slow progress, and they are stuck in finishing operation, which has an impact on the sulfur market Demand is light.

 

In the second stage, from the middle of March to may, monoammonium in the market of ammonium phosphate rose slightly, and the overall market of diammonium was stable. The buying atmosphere in the port market has recovered. The firmness of the external price makes the market more stable. The overall trend of the market is upward, and the domestic sulfur market as a whole presents a shock upward trend. However, in May, downstream demand declined, market support was limited, and the market began to fluctuate.

 

In the third stage, from June to early October, the price of sulphuric acid continued to decline. Strong supporting factors are hard to find, domestic demand is light and continuous, and merchants’ negative wait-and-see mood, after a long period of stalemate and consolidation, the domestic sulfone Market can only move downward. The main reasons for the decline of the market are the decline of the external market price, the slow consumption of the port inventory, and the difficulty in boosting the downstream demand.

 

Sodium selenite

In the fourth stage, from the beginning of October to the end of the year, the general trend of domestic resources has declined, and the downstream demand in various regions has been weak to varying degrees. The domestic market has been impacted by port prices, and the pricing has been declining, and the downstream performance is mainly on demand. The port inventory is still high and low consumption, and there is no change. The market atmosphere is low, and the market continues to decline.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

According to the sulfur analyst of the business association, the current situation of high stock in Hong Kong has not changed, the downstream demand performance is weak, the factory purchases on demand and small orders, and there is no substantive good guidance on supply and demand. In addition, the internal and external support is weak, and most of the enterprises hold a cautious wait-and-see attitude. It is expected that the sulfur market will be reorganized and operated in the later stage, depending on the plant conditions in the later stage.

Stannous Sulphate

The sharp rise of oil price is supported by OPEC’s production reduction and the recovery of risk preference

Monday (December 30) in Asia, international oil prices fluctuated narrowly, maintaining a three-and-a-half-month high as a whole. Oil prices closed positive for four weeks, the longest consecutive increase since April, due to the positive impact of the US EIA crude oil inventory falling to the lowest level in two months, the stock market rising, and OPEC + deepening production reduction.

 

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However, due to weak production reduction alliance and low global crude oil demand, the supply and demand of oil prices are still unbalanced in 2020, which will be reflected in the pattern of supply exceeding demand, which foreshadows the medium-term downward trend of oil prices.

 

Russia said that OPEC + crude oil production reduction has stabilized the global oil market, but will not last forever, because after March 2020, the uncertainty faced by the future of the production reduction agreement continues.

 

Russian energy minister Novak said in an interview, “the reduction of crude oil production cannot be permanent, and we will gradually need to decide to withdraw from the agreement. Russia needs to defend its market share and let its oil companies develop new projects. ”

 

Sodium Molybdate

Novak did not specify when Russia might decide to withdraw from the deal, but said it expected to discuss it with OPEC + colleagues in 2020, with global oil demand surging as early as next summer.

 

“In fact, OPEC has cut large-scale oil supply for quite a long time, and the duration of its action and the scale of production reduction are mostly unusual,” said Martijn rats, commodity strategist at Morgan Stanley. There is still a need for longer and larger cuts, reflecting the potential weakness of market fundamentals. ”

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